Unpredictable token bills haunted the first half of 2026 as AI experimenters pushed deeper into the tech and often found useful results could only be achieved after surprising and unwelcome expenditure. We've gone from tokenmaxxers to tokenmisers, counting every character we send to AI services. That changed the way we used AI, focusing users on the ticking meter and unable to cast their eyes up and explore the possible. Those blinkers fell away in the middle of August when Alibaba delivered Qwen3.8-27B, byte-for-byte probably the most powerful language model ever created – and also capable of running on a high-spec laptop. The community of “local AI” enthusiasts noticed and have spent the intervening weeks whittling Qwen down to fit on an ever-widening array of devices, including – surprisingly – my M4 MacBook Air. Their work means millions of similar devices can now access near-frontier-level artificial intelligence from free software. The gap between my MacBook Air and a smartphone isn’t vast. As local AI developers continue whittling Qwen down to size, a few hundred million smartphones will also be capable of running top-tier AI. While that hasn't happened yet, it won't be more than six months away. At the rate things are unfolding, probably closer to six weeks. Suddenly, "good enough" AI isn't something that we will have to rent. We can have it, at no cost, on our desktops, our kitchen tables, our classrooms and in our pockets. That’s great, but also scary because we've been caught unprepared by AI effectively becoming free. Nobody yet knows what we will do with free AI, or if we are ready for it. On the positive side of the ledger, we stand to benefit from a growing “cognition surplus” that brings more thinking capacity into the home or office. Need to wrangle your way through a baroque accounting system? Give it to the AI. Sorting through twenty years of smartphone snaps? Again, let the AI do the heavy lifting. How about a personal newspaper gathered while you sleep, and presented on your tablet at the breakfast table? It's all doable now. All of that feels very much like something I remember clearly from the early 1980s, when the promise of the “home computer” was managing recipes. We knew the device would find a use, but it wasn't until the one-two punch of GUIs and the Web that most people had any real use for a home computer. That's exactly how this moment feels. Sure, managing smartphone photos will be helpful for millions, but the biggest win will be on the darker side of the ledger – where every bad actor – from script kiddies with a grudge through to the worst of the worst – now have equal access to powerful AI that will go with them everywhere. They’ll use it to lie, cheat and vex, at a speed and on a scale never before seen. To deal with that, we'll fight fire with fire. The most important job our AIs will be tasked with will be keeping us as safe as possible from other AIs. We’ll only be aware of this when it fails. But “good enough” AI and “intelligence everywhere” will enable resource pools and defensive techniques that our adversaries could never harness for themselves, so we stand a solid chance. ®
