KATHMANDU (ANP) - De autoriteiten in Nepal staken hun zoektocht naar de slachtoffers van de dodelijke overstromingen in het noorden van het land eind augustus. Dat meldt persbureau Reuters op gezag van de lokale autoriteiten. Bij de overstromingen kwamen bijna 1500 mensen om het leven. Een kleine 14.000 mensen konden worden gered. Meer dan 5000 mensen zijn nog altijd vermist aan de Nepalese zijde van de grens.

Waar tot nog toe actief werd gezocht naar vermisten, gaan de autoriteiten nu over op het bergen van lichamen als deze worden gevonden. Ook wordt overwogen om de resterende vermisten officieel als overleden te registreren, zodat nabestaanden zich kunnen richten op de juridische en financiële afwikkeling van het verlies van hun naasten.

Aanvankelijk werden drie Nederlanders vermist na de overstromingen, onder wie een in Nepal woonachtige vrouw. Met haar kon begin september contact worden gelegd. De twee andere Nederlanders, die op bedevaart waren naar Tibet, zijn voor zover bekend nog altijd vermist.

Je kent ze. De collega die bij elk overleg binnenschuift met koffie en een verontschuldigende grijns. De vriend die "ik ben er over vijf minuten" appt en een kwartier later nog moet parkeren. Het ligt voor de hand om dat respectloos te vinden. Maar de meeste laatkomers doen het niet expres. Hun brein rekent gewoon verkeerd.

De planningsdrogreden

Psychologen Daniel Kahneman en Amos Tversky gaven het verschijnsel in 1979 een naam: de planningsdrogreden. We schatten structureel te optimistisch in hoe lang iets duurt. In een bekend onderzoek uit 1994 moesten 37 psychologiestudenten voorspellen wanneer hun scriptie af zou zijn. Gemiddeld schatten ze 33,9 dagen. Het werden er 55,5. Zelfs hun inschatting voor het geval dat alles zo slecht mogelijk zou gaan, 48,6 dagen, bleek te rooskleurig. Slechts ongeveer 30 procent was binnen de eigen voorspelling klaar.

Zelfs de inschatting voor als alles misgaat, bleek nog te rooskleurig.

Datzelfde gebeurt 's ochtends op kleinere schaal. Douchen, aankleden, ontbijten: elk onderdeel kost tijd, en samen loopt het sneller op dan je denkt. We baseren onze schatting op hoe het zou moeten gaan, niet op hoe het meestal gaat. Een file, een rood stoplicht of sleutels die net niet op hun plek liggen, daar rekent ons brein zelden mee.

Een minuut van 77 seconden

Hoe je tijd ervaart, hangt ook samen met je persoonlijkheid. Gehaaste, taakgerichte mensen denken in onderzoek al na 58 seconden dat er een minuut voorbij is. Ontspannen types denken dat pas na 77 seconden. Voor hen vliegt de tijd dus ongemerkt voorbij. Tegelijk vinden ze het vaak minder erg als een ander te laat is. Wat dat betreft is het een eerlijke ruil.

Daar komt bij dat onze tijdsbeleving sterk afhangt van aandacht. Wie opgaat in een klusje of gesprek, verliest de klok uit het oog. Sommige mensen leven bovendien niet op kloktijd maar op wat onderzoekers event time noemen: ze gaan pas door als iets af voelt.

Waarom we te laat komen

• We onderschatten hoe lang taken duren
• We plannen geen tegenvallers in
• Flow: we vergeten de klok
• Persoonlijkheid: de minuut van 77 seconden
• Cultuur: een afspraak is soms een richtlijn
• Soms: tijdblindheid, bijvoorbeeld bij ADHD

Als tijd echt onzichtbaar is

Voor een deel van de laatkomers zit het dieper. Bij tijdblindheid kun je simpelweg moeilijk voelen hoeveel tijd er verstrijkt. Dat komt vaker voor bij mensen met ADHD of autisme, en ook bij wie worstelt met depressie of angst. Dan is "gewoon eerder vertrekken" makkelijker gezegd dan gedaan.

Wat wel helpt

Houd een week bij hoe lang dingen echt duren, van douchen tot fietsen naar het station. Zet een wekker voor het moment van vertrekken, niet voor het moment van aankomst. En plan bewust een buffer in voor de tegenvaller die altijd komt.

Zet de wekker voor het vertrek, niet voor de aankomst.

Eén groep valt overigens buiten deze verklaringen: wie het simpelweg niet belangrijk vindt om op tijd te komen. Daar valt weinig aan te doen. Die collega met de koffie mag je dus best eens vragen tot welke groep hij hoort.

Meer weten?

• Quest: waarom zijn sommige mensen altijd te laat?
• NPO Kennis: waarom komen sommige mensen altijd te laat?
• Psychologie Magazine: de waarheid achter te laat komen

SÃO PAULO (ANP/BLOOMBERG) - Beleggers op de beurs in São Paulo reageerden maandag enthousiast op het nieuws dat Flávio Bolsonaro de eerste ronde van de Braziliaanse verkiezingen had gewonnen. Bolsonaro wordt als marktvriendelijker gezien dan opponent en zittend president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro deed het beter dan de peilingen hadden verwacht en is nu de favoriet voor de tweede ronde later deze maand.

De Ibovespa, de hoofdindex van de beurs in São Paulo, steeg bij de opening 8 procent naar een recordhoogte. Ook de Braziliaanse munt werd meer waard.

De verwachting is dat Bolsonaro, zoon van oud-president Jair Bolsonaro, eerder zal bezuinigen om onder meer de dubbelcijferige rente omlaag te krijgen. Lula is terughoudend geweest om bezuinigingen toe te zeggen.

Beleggers hadden er over het algemeen op gerekend dat Lula zou winnen. Bolsonaro kreeg 47 procent van de stemmen, tegen 45 procent voor Lula. Omdat Bolsonaro minder dan 50 procent van de stemmen behaalde, is er een tweede ronde op 25 oktober.

Good Monday morning, I'm on my second coffee of the day already so please excuse any jitters that come through today's newsletter. We've got a big constitutionality ruling on Flock, a scoop about a major fire Meta needed to put out pre-Muse launch, and a lot more from trawling the World Wide Web. Let's get into it.

THE BIG STORY

Meta Rushed to Fix Muse ‘VM Escape' Vulnerability Immediately Before Launch

In the immediate weeks before Muse’s launch, Meta engineers found several security vulnerabilities in the company’s viral AI agent product, at least one of which could have allowed malicious users to break outside of Muse’s intended environment and access Meta’s own sensitive databases and services, 404 Media has learned. The issues were so severe that they reached Mark Zuckerberg and staff worked overtime to fix them.

These specific vulnerabilities were discovered before the launch of the product but required a multi-team “mad dash” to fix “a sudden spike in reported KVM escapes,” according to an internal post by Meta executives to its core infrastructure team seen by 404 Media. In order for Muse to work, a user gives the AI agent access to various important services and accounts that they own. On Meta’s end, each individual Muse instance runs on a kernel-based virtual machine, which connects to, but is supposed to be isolated from, Meta’s own critical infrastructure. A “KVM escape” is when, through a security vulnerability, a Muse instance is able to escape from that virtual machine and interact with the system that runs it, or with other users’ virtual machines. 

According to a Meta source, as well as internal security documentation and internal posts viewed by 404 Media, at least one of the vulnerabilities could have allowed an outside attacker — that is, a normal Muse user — to access data in sensitive internal Meta databases. At least one of the vulnerabilities was related to an exploit found in Linux kernel-based virtual machine code in July. 404 Media granted the Meta source anonymity to speak about sensitive security matters.

Read the rest of the story here.

MORE FROM 404

“Indiscriminate mass surveillance.” In a major first, a federal judge in Oklahoma ruled Thursday that a police officer violated the Fourth Amendment rights of a woman accused of meth trafficking when he searched her license plate in Flock’s automated license plate reader system simply because her license plate was from California, then used her travel history as part of the reason to search her car.  

Are you signed up for The Abstract? If not, you’re missing out, and I don’t want any of our readers experiencing FOMO, so check your account settings to make sure you’re subscribed. In this week’s issue: “Our Solar System Is Terminally Unstable and Will Be Completely Destroyed, Study Finds.” Cool!!!!

And if you’re looking for a Monday listen, on the 404 Media podcast we get into the massive FBI hack that we broke last week, and how a surveillance company is telling cops it wants to add facial recognition tech to Flock camera data. That’s out for everyone today (Supporters got it early!). Listen wherever you get your pods, or watch on YouTube.

FROM AROUND THE WEB

Today in stats that will make you go WTF: The Internet Watch Foundation has found “more photorealistic child sexual abuse material in the first half of 2026 than for the whole of the prior year,” the Guardian reports, thanks to people generating child sexual abuse material using AI tools. The IWF said it assessed 6,310 AI images that met the legal definition of child sexual abuse, which comes in at 40% higher than last year. In case you missed the memo when experts started sounding the alarm on this when we covered the issue in 2024, AI generated child sexual abuse material is not a “victimless crime.”  

Is that not enough WTF for you on a Monday morning? UPS made a video of workers as little kids using AI, and it did not land. As one reply puts it succinctly: Fucking yikes??? Please pray for the UPS social media team.

Norway might ban the pervert glasses. The country’s parliament will propose a temporary ban on Meta’s smart glasses in public spaces, including all the common sense spots like schools, pools, doctor’s offices and changing rooms, but also beaches and parks. Lord I see what you do for others... 

I Super Like this report about pay-to-win dating app schemes. Straight Arrow News reports that some users are “so furious they’ve filed formal federal complaints against Match Group, the publicly traded technology giant that owns the largest dating apps on the market, including Hinge, Tinder and OkCupid. As people leave their luck to a for-profit algorithm with subscription fees of up to $600 per year, public records obtained by Straight Arrow show, they’re calling on federal regulators to crack down on a company they accuse of deceptive business practices and algorithmic manipulation.” 

I am reading it for the articles. Former Motherboarder (IYKYK) turned instant New York Times Bestselling Author Brian Anderson has a wild story in Playboy about drug smuggler Ken “Goldfinger” Connell and the world of the Grateful Dead. I am not personally a Deadhead but I am a fan of Brian’s writing!

Always such a relatable guy. Sam Altman said in an interview with Politico that at OpenAI they “believe that the world should accept some bad things happening for the benefits of this technology and people having the agency.” What bad things, Sam? What bad things?

It’s Nobel Prize winner day. I wonder if I won.

arXiv, an open-access repository where researchers publish preprint academic research, has announced it will rate limit submissions because it has been inundated with AI-written papers. A researcher can now only send in two pieces per calendar month and have a total of three active submissions at any given time. In a blog post about the change, arXiv said AI has made it too easy to spam the publisher’s inbox and its volunteer moderation team is overwhelmed.

“The heart of arXiv’s process for detecting and rejecting low-quality papers is our many volunteer moderators,” Thomas Dietterich, an Oregon State University professor emeritus and the chair of arXiv’s editorial advisory council said in a statement. “We are so grateful that they donate their time and expertise every day. However, a relatively small proportion of authors are submitting a large number of low-quality papers and consuming a disproportionate fraction of the moderators’ time. This is unfair to authors who continue to submit quality papers — their papers can be delayed for days or weeks as a result.”

According to arXiv, it received 9,869 submissions in September 2016, 20,569 submissions in September 2024, and 40,363 submissions in September 2026. Submissions on the site have doubled in the last two years and have sextupled in the computer science category.

AI is driving this surge in multiple ways. Researchers are using LLM to parse massive data sets, write code, and design portions of experiments; some are also using AI to write the papers. “arXiv policy permits authors to employ AI as a tool in support of their research as long as it is disclosed and the research meets arXiv’s standards of scholarly interest and advances the field of research,” arXiv said in its rate limiting blog. “However, many of the submissions that arXiv is now receiving do not satisfy these requirements.”

arXiv said it’s seen an increase in “thin papers of narrow scope” as well as salami papers — where researchers write multiple articles based on one study. “There is also a marked increase in dense, AI-written papers. AI tools are making it easy for authors to flood arXiv and other repositories with these low-value papers,” it said.

Rate limiting was already part of arXiv’s policy, but it was originally left to each individual moderator’s discretion. “This policy update strives to fairly distribute the incredibly valuable work of our volunteer moderators who check that submissions meet these standards,” the publisher said.

This new policy is another part of a long battle the publication is having with AI-powered slop and spam. A little less than a year ago, the archive stopped accepting review articles and position papers in the computer science category and cited low effort LLM-written articles as the reason. In January it started requiring new authors to receive an endorsement from an existing author in the system. Previously the publisher accepted an academic email address as the sole qualifier. In May, arXiv took things a step farther and said it would ban researchers who submitted AI slop from the site for a year.

The age of LLM-assisted security vulnerability discovery is really starting to bite. Debian's latest Linux kernel security update comes with a formidable reading list of 1,313 CVE identifiers. The DSA-6528-1 Linux security advisory, published on September 29, covers kernel package version 6.12.111-1 for Debian 13, codenamed Trixie. Debian 13.7 was released on September 12, before upstream kernel 6.12.111 arrived nine days later. The Debian security tracker links to descriptions of the individual issues. We have not examined every entry. If we had, this article would not appear until after Debian 13.8 (which is likely to appear later in October), or possibly at some point in 2027. Several checked at random also affect older kernel versions, so the list should not be read as a tally of bugs introduced in 6.12.111. The Linux kernel project became a CVE Numbering Authority (CNA) in February 2024. Back in February this year, kernel maintainer Greg Kroah-Hartman described the Linux CVE assignment process in some detail. He said kernel development averages around nine changes an hour, with a feed of known bug fixes averaging about 30 changes a day providing the basis for the CNA team's review. The kernel team's policy is to assign CVEs automatically after fixes have reached a stable kernel tree. It takes a deliberately cautious approach because the security implications of a bug may not be apparent when it is fixed. A CVE identifier alone therefore says little about severity or exploitability. We strongly suspect that this number of CVEs is due to LLM bots doing the bug hunting, and quite possibly doing the bug fixing as well. Linux is not an anti-AI project, and neither is Debian. AI-assisted bug hunting is already swamping the Linux security mailing list, as The Register reported in May. Kroah-Hartman released kernel 6.12.112 on October 3. Its detailed changelog runs to more than 27,000 lines. With both the rates of change and the sizes of the changes getting so large, it is hard to deny that LLM bot assistance must be very useful to the hard-pressed maintainers. Whether coding bots constitute a net benefit to the projects, to software, or to humanity as a whole remains at best an open question. ®

Mapping Tariffs explores “the potential impacts of tariffs on jobs and businesses across Canadian cities and communities at the neighbourhood and city level”.

The star’s rift with Jorge Jesus is an unfortunate affair. But the forward has been holding his national team back for years

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If this is to be the end for Cristiano Ronaldo at international level, at least it can be said that he left the stage as he bestrode it: with monumental self-regard. Ronaldo has always been a preening, self-absorbed player, but for a time, when he was one of the best in the world, it could be tolerated. For the past four years, though, he has actively and obviously held Portugal back. There is a great generation of technical talent here weighed down by the monstrous albatross of his ego.

To recap the basic details of the past couple of weeks. Ronaldo played 67 minutes of Portugal’s scratchy 1-0 win over Wales. Portugal coach Jorge Jesus, who replaced Roberto Martínez after the World Cup, said he had a verbal agreement with Ronaldo that he would not start the following game against Norway but would perhaps come off the bench. Early in the second half, Ronaldo went to warm up – although whether that was on his own initiative or because Jesus had told him to is unclear. The game was tight, Portugal ultimately winning 2-1, and Jesus did not bring Ronaldo on.

Continue reading...

Operation supported by 100 fighter jets said to have secured ‘air protection’ of Bab al-Mandab strait and destroyed hundreds of targets

Leaders of a Saudi-led coalition in Yemen claimed a broad air campaign involving 100 jet aircraft was under way on Monday against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels along the Red Sea coastline and farther north in the capital, Sana’a.

The Saudi coalition spokesperson, Maj Gen Turki al-Maliki, said the 100 fighter jets participating in Operation Dawn of Yemen were providing support to forces of Yemen’s internationally recognised government.

Continue reading...

Pakistani authorities insist marchers calling for former PM to be released from jail will not reach the capital

Imran Khan’s supporters have begun a march to Islamabad to demand his release from jail after efforts by the government to halt the protest failed.

The march began in the former prime minister’s stronghold province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in north-west Pakistan on Sunday, according to leaders of his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party.

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The US withdrew its bombers from RAF Fairford after an investigation into an alleged planned terrorist attack on the base. At least 10 B-1 bombers used by the US military in the Iran conflict flew out of Fairford on Sunday, suggesting US officials were taking the threat seriously. Last week, five men in three vans near the military base were arrested, followed by a sixth British-Iranian national. All were released on bail, drawing criticism from the Pentagon. Lucy Hough speaks to Dan Sabbagh, the Guardian’s defence and security editor – watch on YouTube

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Family of Virginia Giuffre criticizes Colorado’s Jeff Crank for voting to block a vote to release the Epstein files

Two relatives of Virginia Giuffre, one of the most prominent Jeffrey Epstein victims who died last year, appeared in a political attack ad targeting Colorado Republican congressman Jeff Crank, accusing him of refusing to meet with them.

Sky Roberts, Giuffre’s brother, and his wife, Amanda Roberts, expressed disappointment that Crank had voted to block a vote to release the federal investigative files relating to Epstein.

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Ferrari Team Principal Fred Vasseur has praised his drivers for bouncing back from a tough start to the Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia.

Audi will run a one-off design across the livery of the R26 and their drivers' race suits at the Singapore Grand Prix.

School's out? Back to school? Summer school? In the USA, kids have been back to school for about a month now. Is school in or out where you are? Were you excited to go back to school or longing for school breaks and vacations? Did you go to summer school? Do you love new school supplies? Tell us about school breaks, favorite teachers, or anything at all (except politics) - it's your free thread!

Bonus question: a school year ritual is picture day, when everyone gets their picture taken for the yearbook or class photo collection. Got any class photo stories?

Tell us about a time you clashed with an individual or group due to background differences. Or maybe not even clash, but felt *ahem* shock. Generation difference? Regional differences? Differences in work culture? Your first time visiting France? Whatever! And remember to punch up or at least sideways. Or talk about whatever is on your mind. Because this is the internet dive we call Metafilter Tavern.

Bankai

Spanje is zeker niet het enige land met een wooncrisis, maar daar is de situatie wel zeer acuut. Het debat over de wooncrisis verdient een serieuzere benadering; nu domineren simplistische oplossingen en populistische zondebokpolitiek.